On Thursday, March 28th it was announced that star player Danny Granger will not return for the rest of this season, and will undergo surgery. Danny Granger has been fighting patellar tendinosis since last offseason. In late October, he went into surgery for the same reason and returned this February. He was only able to play five games before the knee pains occured again. In the season of 2011-12 Granger avearaged 19 points per game.
The Pacers have been doing well with the absence of Danny Granger this season. They are ranked 3rd in the Eastern Conference with a record of 46-27. They are not a team to over look in the playoffs and will be a tough opponent to beat.
On Monday afternoon, Boston Celtics president of basketball operations Danny Ainge announced that Kevin Garnett is likely to miss the next two weeks with an ankle injury. While the Celtics seem sure that the injury won’t keep KG out of the lineup for the whole rest of the season, they do seem to be erring on the side of caution. Said coach Doc Rivers, “At the end of the day he may miss some games. We’re going to [err] on the right side; whatever they decide…at the end of the day, I want him right. I don’t want him half right.”
Though you might not know it from the lack of concern shown by Ainge and Rivers regarding the long-term effects of Garnett’s injury, the Celtics are facing a crucial part of their schedule in the upcoming weeks. As of Monday afternoon, the C’s sit 7th in the Eastern Conference with a 36-33 record. They are situated squarely between 6th and 8th in the standings, with only two games separating them from Chicago and Milwaukee, respectively.
While moving up to 6th might hold some sort of symbolic value – though I’m not really sure that this Boston squad takes symbolic value from anything – the most important thing for the Celtics is to avoid falling to 8th, which would mean a first round matchup with Miami. That would most definitely change their NBA betting odds going forward. Given their current four game losing streak and the temporary loss of Garnett, the fate of the Celtics season will be decided on the lineups Doc puts on the floor over the coming weeks, and how the team reacts to the absence of its heart and soul.
One thing that will hopefully work to Boston’s advantage down the stretch is the schedule. Both the Celtics and Bucks have thirteen games left to play in the regular season, though the C’s schedule looks much friendlier. Only six of the Celtics remaining games are against playoff teams and only two of those six (New York and Miami) are on the road, where they have struggled mightily this year – going 12-23 as opposed to 24-10 at the TD Garden. For the Bucks, the home stretch will be a little more daunting. Seven of their final thirteen games are against current playoff teams and four of those seven (New York, Miami, Atlanta, and Oklahoma City) are on the road.
Milwaukee’s recent struggles offer additional support to a Boston team in need of all the help it can get. Despite their early success after trading for shooting guard J.J. Redick in late February, the Bucks have lost six of their last eight. Some of those losses, however, may be attributed to the absence of forward Ersan Ilyasova, who is in the process of returning to full strength after missing four games due to back and hip injuries. His return could be extremely helpful to the struggling Bucks, as their points per possession differential with their opponents is 2.3 points better when Ilyasova is on the floor.
While Ilyasova’s return may dim the Celtics hopes to some extent, the fact remains that they control their own destiny when it comes to the 7th seed. Although Garnett is obviously crucial to the Celtics success, there is evidence that the Celtics will be able to remain competitive in his absence.
First, the starting lineup that Boston is likely to use sans Garnett has been extremely successful to this point. Despite playing far fewer minutes than the Celtics normal starting five since Rajon Rondo’s injury, the lineup of Avery Bradley, Courtney Lee, Paul Pierce, Jeff Green, and Brandon Bass has been it’s most successfulin terms of points per 100 possessions differential. Though it is highly unlikely that they will be successful at that rate when given many more minutes, it is certainly possible for this group to at least keep Boston on track against a very mediocre schedule.
Second, the Celtics have been a much more efficient offensive team with Garnett off the floor. This should come as no surprise, as Garnett has posted a career low in offensive win shares and a true shooting percentage of 53.1% his lowest since the 2000-01 season, per Basketball-Reference. Although he has proven that he is an effective midrange shooter, Garnett’s affinity for long two-pointers, the least efficient shots in basketball, do not give the Celtics a very efficient or consistently effective offense. Assuming Green takes a majority of Garnett’s minutes, it is likely that his more advanced stat friendly shot chart, though not perfect, will help alleviate some of Boston’s offensive issues.
Because of the Celtics relatively light schedule the rest of the way, the Bucks recent struggles, and Boston’s effectiveness when playing with Green instead of Garnett, Celtics fans should be fairly optimistic about the team’s chances to retain the 7th seed in the East. The next step will be getting past either Indiana or New York, two teams against whom the Celtics have enjoyed a great deal of recent success.
We start out our weekly preview with Wednesday night’s busy slate of games. Elevent different matches will be taking place, but as always there are a certain few that will be worth paying extra attention to.
First of all, the New York Knicks’ home game with the Brooklyn nets will be a special contest. It’s the first time the Knicks will get to play this new version of the Nets in Madison Square Garden. While the NBA odds will surely be in their favor, they’ll have to execute very well to hold off Brooklyn.
The other game to watch on Wednesday is the Atlanta Hawks at home to Kevin Durant and the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Hawks are a solid 8-4 at home this season and have been playing some terrific defense, but the Thunder are a ridiculous 20-4 overall and have won six of eight road contests so far. They’re playing at a scarily high level right now on both ends of the court, so the Hawks are going to have to do something special to send OKC home with the loss.
The next day, there are two games to track. The Minnesota Timberwolves have Ricky Rubio back now and they’ll be playing host to the Thunder, who will be playing their second game in as many nights. That’s a tough spot for Oklahoma City, especially against a great home team in Minnesota, but if anyone can get the job done it’s them.
You can imagine King Arthur at the round table, after a long fought campaign on the battlefield, lifting his chalice proclaiming victory over the fallen and slain barbarians. The challenge to obtain “the ring” is no different than the battle waged between Frodo Baggins and Gollum; when one overcomes the obstacles placed before them for the riches prize of them all. In team sports, an individual doesn’t achieve their goal until their uniform is soaked in their sweat and champagne, and confetti is draped over their bare skin. Then one can look over the landscape and announce to all within shouting distance, “I did it! I’m a winner!” Immortal.
So last week the NBA, ESPN, Sports Illustrated, the Los Angeles Lakers fan base and your long, lost cousin Raymond celebrated the fact that Kobe Bryant became the fifth (5th) player to surpass 30,000 career points. Bryant joined the likes of Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, Karl Malone, Michael Jordan and Wilt Chamberlin as the only players to accomplish this feat. Although this is a great achievement, which signifies his longevity, great health and desire to continue to play the game at a high level, I am not impressed. I relate it to a statement that ESPN’s First Take host Stephen A. Smith made in regards to Cal Ripken breaking Lou Gehrig’s record for consecutive games played, “He came to work every day.” My biggest issue with the mass media is that with every accomplishment, the comparisons between he and “His Airness” shrink and the allure of his alleged dominance of the sport continues to grow. Now mind you, I’m no fool. I can admit that Kobe is one of the greatest players of our generation. My favorite moment is when he silences the crowd with a dagger of a jump shot in the 2008 Olympic Gold Medal Game against Spain. But did he transcend the sport like Mike did? I think not. Take into account this, according to the website www.wagesofwins.com, an average player, if given the opportunity to take the same number of shots as Bryant during his seventeen (17) years in the league would rank 6th all-time in scoring with 29,847. This statistic includes average shooting guard’s field goal percentage and free throw percentage of 80.4. That would mean players like Larry Hughes, Flip Murray, Blue Edwards, Byron Russell, Monte Ellis and your favorite male bank teller (insert name here) would have a chance for a Hall of Fame career if given the opportunity to shoot as much as Kobe. Anyway, that’s beside the point; winning championships is the reason that Kobe and any other player of his caliber are held in high regard for their accomplishments. No one ever brings up his failures or missteps. See the lauded, self-proclaimed “Black Mamba”, isn’t quite the assassin that he’s made out to be on your 10 p.m. SportsCenter telecast. In an article written by Henry Abbott on January 28, 2011, titled “The Truth about Kobe Bryant in crunch time”, it was determined that trailing by one or two points, or tied, in the final 24 seconds of regular-season and playoff games since 1996-97, with a minimum of 30 shots, Bryant (at that time) shot 31.3% (36-115). The last time Kobe hit such a shot was last year in an 88-85 victory over the New Orleans Hornets. The facts point out that on such occasions, Carmelo Anthony is the “most clutch” player shooting 47.7% (at that time). However, because Anthony has yet to win a championship and has been bounced out of the playoffs in the first round nine out of his first ten seasons, Kobe’s deemed the “winner guy”. See when you win everybody forgets that you were once a disgruntled teammate, called selfish on frequent occasions for not sharing the ball, seen as a dirty player for flailing elbows at Spurs guard Manu Ginobili and Marko Jaric during the course of games for playing tight defense, or a host of other things. Ah, and let’s not forget that coming into tonight’s game against the New York Knicks, in games in which he scores 30 points or more, the Lakers are 1-10. That stat is telling because, when other teammate are involved and the scoring is evenly distributed, the Lakers win. An astonishing revelation! But because he’s Kobe Bryant, the Lakers failures aren’t in part his fault at some level. (refer to Tim Legler on ESPN on December 11th for details) When Kobe applied for employment in the NBA, his job title is “Shooting Guard”. Therefore, having an overall game of distributing the ball for assists or crashing the defensive boards for rebounds isn’t a criteria. When you win, those transgressions are forgotten and you’re instantly placed in an echelon of mythical heroes; gods that surpass the accomplishments of mere mortals.
It’s once again time to look at the upcoming week to see which NBA matchups you’re going to want to keep a close eye on.
We start our preview with Tuesday night’s games, and there’s a couple dandies on the schedule. The Brooklyn Nets will play host to the New York Knicks in another battle of New York teams.
The Nets are in a bad place right now, having lost four straight games, so they’re really going to have to bring it against a Knicks team that’s 15-5 and tops in the Atlantic Division. Carmelo Anthony is back and healthy too.
The other game we’re tracking is the Chicago Bulls’ home encounter with the L.A. Clippers. The Bulls are doing their very best to hang on and survive without Derrick Rose (and now Rip Hamilton too) and are doing well in that respect. They’re currently 11-8 on the season, thanks in large part to a solid 5-3 record on the road.
We start on Tuesday, with two highly intriguing matchups on the schedule.
First off is the Brooklyn Nets at home versus the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder are favored in the NBA odds despite being on the road, and it’s hard to argue that if you’ve seen them play this season.
Kevin Durant and company really are playing at an extremely high level, so this will be a huge test for Deron Williams and the Nets. They’ve gone 7-1 at home so far this season – can they make it 8-1 with a statement win over the Thunder?
Thirty minutes after that one tips off, the matchup between the Houston Rockets and Los Angeles Lakers will begin. James Harden has been a star for the Rockets and has them at 8-8 overall and 6-3 at home, meaning the Lakers have to step up their game on both ends of the court if they want to get back to .500.
Damian Lillard: Is Damian Lillard the early favorite for Rookie of the Year in the NBA? Most would say so. With Anthony Davis missing time due to injuries, Lillard is slowly taking over. Some ESPN experts expect Davis to return and take back the ROY title, but as of right now Lillard is the favorite. He is without a doubt one of the major steals of the draft averaging an outstanding 19.1 PPG, 6.1 assists, and 3.2 rebounds.
Anderson Varejo: Is Andersion Varejo the best center in the NBA? The season is still young, but he is making his case at least to many fantasy basketball owners. Varejo has nine games so far with 15 or more rebounds which is beyond what most can say. He is also averaging 14.5 points per game, 14.9 rebounds and shooting 52.5 percent from the floor.
Derrick Williams: Are the Minnesota Timberwolves already considering letting go the former No. 2 pick of the 2011 draft? Some believe they are very much open to a trade and Oklahoma City would be interested. Rumors are a deal revolving around Eric Maynor makes the most sense for both sides. The problem is OKC is unwilling to trade much else would could kill all trade talks.
Pau Gasol: Will Pau Gasol’s name ever be out of the trade rumors? It doesn’t appear anytime soon. With new head coach Mike D’Antoni only a few days into his new position, Gasol trade rumors are already rising. D’Antoni was quick to deny the rumors saying there is no reason Gasol can’t fit into his new Lakers system. Would an addition of Gasol help another team’s chances of winning it all? It would certainly adjust the odds of daily NBA picks.
Thanksgiving has now come and gone, and we have a good sample set now of most of the teams in the NBA. Here are some of the games to watch on the NBA betting odds where you very well could find some great value.
Tuesday: Suns @ Cavaliers – This is just the fifth home game of the year for the Cavs, and it comes in a really nice spot against a Phoenix team that has gone just 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS on the road. The 4-10 ATS mark for Phoenix is one of the worst in the NBA, and the team has gone just 2-7 ATS in this series dating back to 2009.
Wednesday: Nets @ Celtics – This should be a brutal fight in the Atlantic Division, and it might be a lower scoring game when push comes to shove. Brooklyn has played eight of its 13 games ‘under’ the ‘total’ this year, including a 96-89 win over the Knicks in overtime on Monday night. The Nets have held three straight teams to 89 points or fewer, and have had three straight games holding teams to 85 or fewer through the first 48 minutes of action.
Thursday: Spurs @ Heat – The Spurs have only been beaten once this year on the road, and they are going to be playing against a Miami team that has won all six of its games at home. The problem that San Antonio has in this one is that this is the second game in as many days. It’ll take on Orlando on Wednesday, and the second half of the Sunshine State swing, especially for West Coast teams, has notoriously been a pain of a game to play. This could be a big outing for LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and company against another NBA Finals contender.
It’s Thanksgiving, and it’s certainly a good day to be a member of Knicks Nation. Let’s take a look at what we have to be thankful for about each member of the New York Knicks:
Head coach Mike Woodson:
For being the best coach that the Knicks could possibly have. Since Woodson took over in March, the Knicks have won 26 of 34 games, solidifying themselves as a truly elite team in this league.
Woodson has done what D’antoni could never quite figure out; he’s successfully running the offense through Carmelo Anthony while getting the Knicks to play complete lockdown defense. And that’s not to say that Woodson is a better coach than D’antoni–it’s to say that he’s a better coach for the Knicks than D’antonio, or any other coach for that matter, because the winning formula doesn’t necessarily involve having the best pieces, but instead involves having the right pieces.
Despite the fact that the New York Knicks finished the 2011-12 regular season with an 18-6 stretch under Mike Woodson, not many considered them a formidable threat to the Miami Heat coming into this season. Perhaps it had to do with the fact that the Knicks were bounced in five games against the Heat in the first round of the playoffs. Or maybe it was because of the fact that two of the team’s star players–forward Amar’e Stoudemire and guard Iman Shumpert–were both going to be out of the lineup until the winter months.
However, what analysts everywhere failed to realize was how upgraded the Knicks’ roster became over the offseason. Losing Jeremy Lin, albeit not preferable, was certainly not as detrimental to the team as it was made out to be.
The truth of the matter is that the Knicks’ backcourt is vastly improved–Jason Kidd and Raymond Felton might not bring more excitement than that of Jeremy Lin, but they do bring something absolutely essential that Lin could never provide: defense.
Kidd and Felton have tagged along with a newly-inspired Carmelo Anthony, the defensive-minded Ronnie Brewer, the reigning DPOY in Tyson Chandler and a reformed J.R. Smith, among others, to produce what has been the league’s best defensive team through the season’s first two weeks, not to mention the fact that it is being done without one of the NBA’s premier perimeter defenders in Iman Shumpert.